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How many attempts are realistic for an average UPSC aspirant to succeed?

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  • Success for an "average" aspirant typically occurs in the second to fourth attempt.
  • The first attempt is often a learning curve for the vast syllabus, while the second and third are when candidates peak in conceptual clarity and answer-writing skills.
  • Statistically, many toppers succeed in their third or fourth try.
  • Beyond the fourth, diminishing returns and mental fatigue can set in, making a backup plan essential.